Double your money!
A student aspiring to
appear in various competitive examinations is frequently required to calculate
the no. of years in which a sum is doubled under certain rate of Compound
Interest when the compounding is done annually. Why only students, even
Managers and Investors are often required to calculate the no. of years in
which a sum will double itself at a particular rate of interest.
There
are generally two ways to calculate it:
(1)
By Compound Interest Formula, or
(2)
By using scientific calculators or some spreadsheet programmes that have
functions to find the accurate doubling time.
Students are required
to calculate it by using a formula while professional can resort to the
scientific calculators or some specialized software. The formulae for
calculating the CI is given below:
· A =
P(1+r/100)n
(Where
A is the Amount, P is the Principal or Sum, r is the rate of interest and n is
the number of years.)
· Compound Interest =
Amount – Principal.
As
the formula for calculation of Compound Interest is not that easy for mental
calculation purposes; if an alternative simple formula is provided it can rule
out use of both the above options (1) and (2).
Well,
indeed there is a simple approximate formula for the above calculation which
can be and is used by informed bankers, Investors, Project Engineers, maths
teachers, and students alike.
The
simple formula
is:
nr =72
This
is also known as Rule of 72.
Where
n is the no. of years in which a sum will double itself and r is the rate of
Compound Interest under which the sum will double itself. The formula is valid
when the compounding is done once in a year and the rate of Interest is between
1% to 20%.
(It
will be worthwhile to note that in real life, rate of interest is seldom
charged beyond this limit of 1% to 20 %.)
Now,
the question is how to use this formula.
Example: In how many
years will a sum of Rs. 5000 double itself at a Compound Interest of?
(a) 8%
(b) 9%
(c) 12%
Solution: Here we can apply
the simple formula nr=72 for approximate calculations. In the first case r is
given as equal to 8, hence nx8= 72 and n=9.Hence the sum will double itself in
9 years in the first case. Similarly n=8 years in the second case and n=6 years
in the third case.
And
if we use the traditional Compound Interest Formula our results will be as
follows:
(a) 9.006 years
(b) 8.04 years
(c) 12.09 years
Having seen the use
of formula, let us now see the logic or derivation of this Rule of 72.
The
original formula for Compound Interest is as below:
A = P(1+r/100)n
Where
A is the Amount, P is the Principal or Sum, r is the rate of interest and n is
the number of years.
If
a sum is doubled then A=2P. Putting the value of A in terms of P, we get
2P=
P (1+r/100)n
2=
(1+r/100)n
Taking
the natural logarithm of both the sides, we get
loge
2 = n loge (1+r/100); and
n=
(loge 2)/ { loge(1+r/100)}
From
natural logarithm table loge 2 =0 .693.
n=
0.693/ { loge(1+r/100)}
Expanding
the logarithmic series loge(1+r/100), we get
loge(1+r/100)=
(r/100) – (1/2)(r/100)2 + (1/3)(r/100)3 -…
(For -100 < r ≤100)
Now
we can write
n=
0.693/{(r/100) – (1/2)(r/100)2 +
(1/3)(r/100)3 -…}
If
we take small value of r from 1 to 20, we can conclude from the above that
Approximately
n=72/r or nr=72.
There is another way
to derive it without using the logarithmic series.
2P=
P (1+r/100)n
2=
(1+r/100)n
n=
(log 2)/ {log (1+r/100)}
Let us make a table
of values with the help of a scientific calculator by putting different values
of r in the above formula and then by calculating corresponding values of n and
nr…
Rate of Interest ( r)
|
No. of Years (n)
|
nr
|
1
|
69.66071689
|
69.66071689
|
3
|
23.44977225
|
70.34931675
|
5
|
14.20669908
|
71.03349541
|
7
|
10.24476835
|
71.71337846
|
9
|
8.043231727
|
72.38908554
|
11
|
6.641884618
|
73.0607308
|
13
|
5.671417169
|
73.72842319
|
15
|
4.959484455
|
74.39226682
|
If we take the
average of the nr values, we get 72.04092314, which is quite close to 72, and
so our Rule of 72 seems to be a very close estimate for doubling money at an
annual interest rate of r% for n number of years.
If
we calculate the no of years with actual Compound Interest Formula and by the
Rule of 72, the minute difference in both the approaches will be as per the
chart given below:
Rate
of interest %
|
Years as calculated by the Rule of 72
|
Actual Years as calculated by the
Compound InterestI Formula
|
3%
|
24
|
23.45
|
4%
|
18
|
17.673
|
5%
|
14.4
|
14.21
|
6%
|
12
|
11.896
|
7%
|
10.3
|
10.24
|
8%
|
9
|
9.006
|
9%
|
8
|
8.04
|
10%
|
7.2
|
7.273
|
From
the above table, it is very clear that if we practically use the Rule of 72; a
lot of calculating efforts can be reduced. And that we can calculate the
doubling amount period mentally without using the calculator!